Monday, 02/06/2023 (9) ANAHEIM vs. (10) DALLAS
Favoring: ANAHEIM on the money line.
Play On - Road teams against the money line (ANAHEIM) - horrible power play killing team-opp score on more than 19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
(106-48 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +68.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0 +8.8 units).

Monday, 02/06/2023 (7) CALGARY vs. (8) NY RANGERS
Favoring: CALGARY on the money line.
Play On - Road teams against the money line (CALGARY) - horrible power play killing team-opp score on more than 19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
(106-48 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +68.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0 +8.8 units).

Monday, 02/06/2023 (9) ANAHEIM vs. (10) DALLAS
Favoring: ANAHEIM on the money line.
Play On - Road teams against the money line (ANAHEIM) - poor power play killing team - opp score on more than 17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
(133-64 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.5%, +75.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0 +8.8 units).

Monday, 02/06/2023 (7) CALGARY vs. (8) NY RANGERS
Favoring: CALGARY on the money line.
Play On - Road teams against the money line (CALGARY) - poor power play killing team - opp score on more than 17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
(133-64 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.5%, +75.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0 +8.8 units).

Monday, 02/06/2023 (5) VANCOUVER vs. (6) NEW JERSEY
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Any team against the total (VANCOUVER) - slow starting team-outscored by opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period - 2nd half of the season, after playing 3 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored
(79-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +36.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4 +2.8 units).

Monday, 02/06/2023 (11) MINNESOTA vs. (12) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 6 or more (MINNESOTA) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days
(50-22 since 1997.) (69.4%, +27.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 +0 units).

Monday, 02/06/2023 (3) TAMPA BAY vs. (4) FLORIDA
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
FLORIDA is 2-10 (-14.5 Units) against the money line off a home win this season.
The average score was FLORIDA 2.2, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (7) CALGARY vs. (8) NY RANGERS
Favoring: CALGARY on the money line.
NY RANGERS are 3-8 (-15 Units) against the money line in home games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game this season.
The average score was NY RANGERS 2.8, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (3) TAMPA BAY vs. (4) FLORIDA
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
FLORIDA is 7-16 (-14.1 Units) against the money line revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.
The average score was FLORIDA 3.5, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 3*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (3) TAMPA BAY vs. (4) FLORIDA
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
FLORIDA is 6-17 (-18.4 Units) against the money line off a win or tie in their previous game this season.
The average score was FLORIDA 2.7, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (3) TAMPA BAY vs. (4) FLORIDA
Favoring: Over on the total.
FLORIDA is 14-2 OVER (+12 Units) after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FLORIDA 4.2, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (9) ANAHEIM vs. (10) DALLAS
Favoring: Under on the total.
DALLAS is 11-2 UNDER (+8.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
The average score was DALLAS 2.7, OPPONENT 2.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (9) ANAHEIM vs. (10) DALLAS
Favoring: Under on the total.
DALLAS is 27-12 UNDER (+14.2 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances this season.
The average score was DALLAS 3.2, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Monday, 02/06/2023 (9) ANAHEIM vs. (10) DALLAS
Favoring: Over on the total.
ANAHEIM is 11-3 OVER (+7.9 Units) off a win or tie in their previous game this season.
The average score was ANAHEIM 2.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Everything is bigger in Texas, including sniper Jason Robertson’s shot volume. The 23-year-old has scored most of his goals on home ice this season thanks to his elite ability to generate shots on goal.

Jason Robertson Over 3.5 Shots (-120)
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Dallas (-350) has lost three home games in a row, but Monday is a good spot to turn things around. The Ducks (+290) have won three in a row, but let’s look at the big picture here. The Stars rank fifth in the league, while the Ducks occupy the 30th spot, and this matchup presents a difficult challenge for the latter in terms of style.

The Ducks rank 32nd in shots (per 60 minutes) and they’ve been especially bad on the road. It’s not unusual for teams to generate upwards of 40 shots on goal against the Ducks, and that’s why the attention should be on Stars’ forward Jason Robertson, who is fresh off his first All-Star game appearance.

Robertson leads the Stars in shots and after a brief stint playing on a line with Tyler Seguin, the 23-year-old is back with Roope Hintz. Only six players generated more shots (per 60) than Robertson prior to Hintz’ injury on Jan. 8th and now they’re back together on the top line.

Home and road splits matter, too. It’s no wonder that Robertson has scored 22 of his 33 goals on home ice. He’s generated at least four shots on goal in 16 out of 24 home games so far this season compared to just 13 of 26 times on the road. Robertson is a good bet to register at least four shots on goal at -120.